SEPTEMBER NEWS 9/30/07 Foreign Currency Speculation, NY Times 9/30/07 Today in 1889: Wyoming Adopts Constitution That Includes Woman Suffrage, History Channel 9/30/07 Student Loan Bubble? Forbes 9/28/07 NYC Business Outlook Worst in 27 Months - NAPM, Crains 9/27/07 Overseas, Manhattan Is Seen as a Bargain, NY Sun, 9/27/07. Foreign press is heavily profiling the attractiveness of Manhattan real estate. With financial markets so volatile, foreign investors want to sink their money into something stable. 9/26/07 Funding a Pension-Fund Shortfall with a Bond Issue (St. Louis), Governing 9/26/07 GM and UAW Close to Agreement, Forbes 9/25/07 Jane Jacobs and the Future of New York, Municipal Arts Society 9/25/07 Green Building May Become the Law in California, North County Times 9/25/07 Violent Crime Fell 6% in NY State in First Half of 2007, Crains NY 9/25/07 Violent Crime Rose 2% in the Nation in 2006, LA Times 9/25/07 Single-Family Home Prices Fall 4% YOY in NYC Area, Tom Fredrickson, Crains NY 9/25/07 Off-Peak Fares Eyed, NY Times 9/24/07 Real Estate Report 2007: Pop Goes the Real Estate Bubble, New York Magazine 9/24/07 Yield Curves and Recessions. Charles A.E. Goodhart, VoxEU.org 9/23/07 Goolsbee on Real Estate, Greg Mankiw Blog 9/23/07 Money Creation and the Federal Reserve, EconBrowser 9/23/07 The Repo Man, Economist View, September 23, 2007 9/22/07 FOMC and the markets, FX Street Economic Monitor 9/20/07 Traffic Snarls in LA and NYC Get Worse, CityEconomist 9/19/07 Who's a Tightwad? Who's a Spendthrift? Knowledge at Wharton 9/19/07 NYC's Traffic Congestion Gets Worse, CityEconomist 9/19/07 SEC Looks for Data on Hedge Fund Insider Trading, Washington Post 9/19/07 How We Got into the Subprime Lending Mess, Knowledge at Wharton 9/19/07 San Francisco Studying Congestion Pricing, SF Chronicle 9/18/07 How Personal Financial Planning Saves Marriages, CityEconomist 9/18/07 What the Mortgage Crisis Means for You, AOL Money 9/18/07 Predicting a Slowdown in Revenue, New York Officials Prepare for a Tighter Budget, Diane Cardwell, NY Times 9/18/07 Three Telling Days for the U.S. Economy, Washington Post 9/18/07 9/11 Law Suits to Be Heard Next Week, NY Sun (Some settled prior to trial.) 9/17/07 Greenspan's Memoir Shows Danger of Irrational Book Advances - Caroline Baum, Bloomberg 9/17/07 Paul Krugman: Sad Alan’s Lament, Economist View 9/17/07 Rules vs. Authority in Central Bank (and Other) Policies-Becker and Rules versus Discretion--Posner's Comment, Becker-Posner Blog 9/17/07 Strong Oil, Weak Dollar, Brad Setser 9/17/07 Building Sandcastles: The Subprime Adventure, Harvard Business School Working Knowledge 9/16/07 Off the Charts: Double Warning That a Recession May Be on the Way, NY Times 9/16/07 Golosov and Lucas: Menu Costs and Phillips Curves, Economist View 9/16/07 Americans Do Work More than Europeans, but Please Don’t Think that Europeans Are Lazy. Claudio Michelacci, Josep Pijoan-Mas, VoxEU.org 9/15/07 A Signaling Model of Consumer Behavior, by Arnold Kling, EconLog 9/15/07 Mankiw: One Answer to Global Warming: A New Tax, Economist View 9/15/07 Catch the Wave, EconBrowser 9/14/07 Update: Downward Revision of GDP Forecasts, Eurozone Watch 9/14/07 New State Rules Clarify Deals with Pension Fund, NY Times 9/14/07 China as an International Investor. Philip Lane, VoxEU.org 9/13/07 Paul Krugman: A Surge, and Then a Stab, Economist View 9/13/07 Stiglitz: What We Can Learn from Malaysia, Economist View 9/13/07 A Secret Rate Cut?, Greg Mankiw 9/13/07 Saving Glut Redux, EconBrowser 9/13/07 Greenspan: "I really didn't get it", Calculated Risk 9/11/07 Turkey's Economic Straddle, CityEconomist on Huffington Post 9/11/07 Harvard Profs on the Fed, Greg Mankiw 9/11/07 What Makes a Terrorist?. Alan B. Krueger, VoxEU.org 9/10/07 Bait-and-Switch: The Myth and the Reformulation, Bryan Caplan, EconLog 9/10/07 US Monetary Policy: Right for the US, Wrong for the Dollar Zone?, Brad Setser 9/9/07 What is Silicon Valley? Comparisons with NYC, CityEconomist 9/9/07 What Did We Know about the Housing Bubble and When Did We Know It?, Economist View 9/9/07 The Ranks of the Comfortable Are Still Thinning, NY Times 9/8/07 Recession Coming?, Greg Mankiw Blog 9/8/07 Jobs Numbers Disappoint, EconBrowser 9/7/07 The Coming U.S. Hard Landing, Nouriel Roubini 9/7/07 Are Labor Market "Rigidities" Responsible for Europe's Unemployment?, Dan Rodrik’s Blog 9/7/07 Accuracy of 9/11 Health Estimates Questioned, NY Times 9/7/07 NYC Puts Hospital Error Rates Online, NY Times 9/6/07 Do Stock Market Investors Really Want The Fed to Lower US Interest Rates? Market Oracle 9/6/06: The Role of Structured Investment Vehicles in the Recent Financial Crisis, Economist View 9/6/07: Borrowing Short and Lending Long, EconBrowser 9/6/07: Housing Slump Strains Budgets of States, Cities, WSJ 9/6/07: Subprime Crisis and Credit Risk Transfer, Luigi Spaventa, VoxEU.org 9/5/07: European Bank Exposure to Subprime Risk, Economonitor 9/5/07: Home Truths about the Housing Market, Knowledge at Wharton 9/3/07 States and Localities: Strapped for Cash, Governing Magazine 9/3/07 Lessons from Financial Crises of the Past, BBC. Remembering the sequence of the unraveling of financial markets in 1929 and 2000 continues to be instructive. |
SEPTEMBER BLOGS AND CITES
9/26/07 Blogspot, John Tepper Marlin, Congestion Pricing Linked to Parking Fees. "NYC Mayor Bloomberg's Traffic Congestion Mitigation Committee met on September 25 and the connection between parking and congestion pricing was immediately put on the table..."
9/25/07 Blogspot, John Tepper Marlin, Bravo MTA. "The MTA is thinking of having an off-peak fare, a discount for bus and subway riders in New York City. That's a good move..."
9/22/07 Blogspot, John Tepper Marlin, File Sharing and Knockoffs - Evil or Harmless? "Used to be a lot of tape and record stores. Now few survive. ..."
9/20/07 Blog on Huffington Post, John Tepper Marlin, Traffic Snarls in LA and NYC Get Worse. "The Los Angeles and New York City areas have suffered the highest total annual costs from traffic delays since 1982. And the delays are getting worse. It's no surprise that the LA-Orange County area ranks worst... The NYC metro area does much better but is deteriorating. The big surprise is that snarls at the report are not for rating LA and OC worst again, but for understating the magnitude of the local problem. ..."
9/11/07 Blog on Huffington Post, John Tepper Marlin, Turkey's Economic Straddle. "Turkey's program of straddling its Islamic past and its economic future is being pushed, watched and challenged. It is being pushed by the government and watched by the EU, which Turkey wishes to join, and by its own army. At the same time, Turkey's employers are being challenged by low-wage competition from the country's near neighbors and European buyers concerned about labor conditions. ..."
9/9/07 Blogspot, John Tepper Marlin, What Is Silicon Valley? Comparisons with NYC. "New York City is commonly rated below Silicon Valley and Boston as a tech center, based on the higher density of their high-tech firms. A study by the New York-based group ITAC (full report downloadable from their web site) claims this is unfair and stresses that NYC has more high-tech workers than its major tech competitors. As a resident, fan and former employee of the City of New York, I would like to believe this, but the study appears to overstate NYC's case. It uses as its definition of Silicon Valley the San Jose MSA, and excludes San Francisco. ..." Compares with data in 1999 City Comptroller's report on the NYC software/IT industry. |
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AUGUST NEWS
8/31/07: Response to President on Housing Markets, House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank
8/31/07: Speech on Housing and Financial Markets, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
8/31/07: Bubbles and Traditional Economics, Economists' View
8/27/07: Update on Subprime Loans, Stephen Cecchetti
8/24/07: Trouble in Toyland: New Challenges for Mattel -- and 'Made in China', Knowledge at Wharton
8/23/07: How to Get Good Public Services through Choice and Competition, Julian Le Grand
8/20/07: How the Friday “Bernanke Put” Slammed Holders of “Put Options” Betting on a Market Fall, Nouriel Roubini
8/20/07: What does the cut in the Fed's discount rate signal?, EconBrowser
8/18/07: The [Hyman] Minsky Moment, Wall Street Journal
8/16/07: The subprime mortgage crisis for dummies Dan Rodrik
8/13/07 It’s All About Them, Paul Krugman
8/10/07: Market Falls Into Well, Rescue Effort Underway Jennifer Kerfuffle
8/9/07 Greenspan, Bush Errors Finally Come Home to Roost, Joseph Stiglitz |
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JULY
7/23/07 Acknowledged, David Toomey, New Time Travelers (New York: W.W. Norton, 2007), about scholars who have written in-depth about time travel. John Tepper Marlin provided information about his uncle Dr. Willem Jacob van Stockum, a mathematician who was the first to show (in 1937) how Einstein's theory of relativity implied possibilities for time travel. 7/21/07 Cited, "Businesses Near Blast Worry about Repayment," by Ken Belson and Patrick McGeehan, New York Times, p. B1. "The city has not yet produced an estimate of the blast's economic effect, though John Tepper Marlin..."
7/20/07 Cited, "Life Stirs, but Fitfully, in the Heart of the City," by Ethan Wilensky-Lanford, New York Times. Regarding the steam pipe explosion in Midtown Manhattan, "John Tepper Marlin, a former chief economist for the city comptroller’s office, estimated the lost business income at $10 million to $30 million through last night."
7/17/07 "Turkey's Elections on Sunday: We Have a Dog in the Fight," John Tepper Marlin, Huffington Post. "When the Bush family and Texas friends wish to convey that they don't care much about something, they have been known to say: "I don't have a dog in that fight." There's a fight happening next Sunday in Turkey that we do have a dog in and have heard precious little about in the U.S. media... more Links (as of July 20): Turkish Digest Turkey Secularism News - EU Politics Today Middle East European Union News - EIN News Big Media Blog The Moderate Voice EU Turkey Trade News Turkish News Sphere South Asia Military News - Military Industry Today Findory Silobreaker Sonoma County Democracy for America TURKUAZ.
7/17/07 Testimony on Land Value Taxation, Forum Sponsored by Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer, held at the Steven L. Newman Real Estate Institute, Baruch College.
7/16/07 Profile: John Tepper Marlin, "Taking the Temperature of New York City's Economy," by David Gibbons, Chelsea Now. "Nearly 37 years ago, a pair of young financial intellects and activists, John Marlin and Alice Tepper, met, fell in love and were married—each taking on the other’s maiden name. They moved to an apartment on the corner of West 22nd Street and Ninth Avenue, in the heart of Chelsea, where they’ve lived ever since, raising two children, Jay, 33, and Caroline, 29, and pursuing two equally distinguished and influential careers... more
7/9/07 Testimony on Congestion Pricing before a Public Hearing of Manhattan Community Boards 4, 5 and 6, Fashion Institute of Technology, New York City. 7/9/07 Cited, "Setting the Bar," profile of Alice Tepper Marlin by David Gibbons, Chelsea Now.
07/03/07 New York Home Prices: No Place but Up, CNN. Buyers include wealthy Koreans, Irish and Russians. Many are spending millions for second, third, even fourth homes. |
CityEconomist July 2007 Newsletter |
JUNE 6/28/07 Paper, "What Form of CSR Is Best for You?" including as cases Tiffany's, Gap and Chiquita and the policies of Turkey, Italy and Pakistan, Conference on CSR, Baruch College, June 2007.
6/26/07 Paper, "Business and Ecology," for the U.S. Ecological Economists, Pace University, June 2007.
6/8/07 Cited, "Majority Oppose NYC Congestion Plan: Poll," Crain's (David Jones). Referenced Prof. William Vickrey's 1992 proposal
3/07 EPS Quarterly, 19:1 Article - "The Costs of War to Occupied Countries," EPS Quarterly, 19:1 (March 2007). Published by Economists for Peace and Security. "The Winged Watchman" is a 1962 book by Hilda van Stockum kept in print by Bethlehem Books. Based on the experience of van Stockum's relatives in Holland, it brings to life the high cost to Holland of occupation by the Nazis after the "shock and awe" of the bombing of Rotterdam in 1940. Hilda van Stockum had many letters about the high cost of the occupation - she lost both her brothers from the war (her brother Willem van Stockum was an RAF bomber pilot and was shot down over Laval; her other brother Jan died right after the war as a result of disease contracted in Holland during the war). Her children had first-hand exposure to these costs when we visited our Dutch relatives soon after the war. It also shows the bitter resentment of the Dutch and their growing willingess to risk their lives by joining the Resistance. Those who did not live through World War II may forget its lessons. Children's books are a way to pass on the lessons learned by one generation to the next. Is it too much to think that an understanding of the message of this book would have been helpful when plans were being made about how best the United States should respond to the news about 9/11? In fact, at that time the President of the United States was listening intently to the story of "The Pet Goat" being read out to him to the rhythm of a stick by an energetic class in Sarasota, Fla. The story of the pet goat has a different message from The Winged Watchman. Its message is that a single heroic victory by the pet goat could solve all of the goat's basic problems, which had led to the father of the girl who owned the pet saying: "That goat must go!" In fact the goat's butting of the alleged car thief did not solve the underlying problem, which is that the goat could not be controlled and ate everything in the house. Read more: The Costs of War to Occupied Countries." (Order The Winged Watchman through Bethlehem Books or Amazon. For more about Hilda van Stockum, visit the HvS website or the Boissevain website.
3/16/07 (HuffPost) The proof of alternative investing by the NY City pension fund is in the successful management of these investments, with the poster child for success being Jack Meyer when he was managing Harvard's money and the poster child for failure was Robert Citron when he was Treasurer of Orange County and managing a pool of its own and other municipalities' money. Citron's successor wrote in that Orange County was no pension fund. But pension funds (California, San Diego, NY State Teachers) invested in Enron, Amaranth, New Century Financial. NYC pension-fund shortfalls are made good by City contributions, in a provision enshrined in the NY State Constitution. "Eat your words, Mr. Moorlach." Read more: Big Apple v. Orange Co.
3/15/07 (HuffPost) The RED campaign was created by several companies - including Gap Inc., Motorola and Sprint - to generate money to fights AIDS in Africa. Ad Age argued that it was unsuccessful and a bad idea. This blog questions both arguments. Read more: Why the Grouse about the RED Campaign? |
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8/23/07 Blog on Huffington Post, Nanny NYC Kicks Butts. Starting in his first year as mayor, 2002, Mayor Michael Bloomberg has sought to discourage smoking by New Yorkers. His efforts were opposed by many smokers, bars and cigarette vendors, and the city was derided by Human Events as "Nanny NYC." But the mayor's efforts have paid off well....
8/17/07 Cited in Firms Hit Wall on Tech Worker Hiring in New York City, by Amanda Fung, Workforce Management (Irvine,Calif.) Employers can move jobs out," says John Tepper Marlin, former chief economist with the city comptroller's office and now a principal at consulting firm CityEconomist ...
8/16/07 Blog, President Bush Wasn't Reading Out on 9/11, correcting a blog making the common error that the President was reading out "The Pet Goat." He was being read to.
8/15/07 Blog, A Good Idea: Proposed Reverse 911 (City Alerts Us) - support for the idea of having a system for the City to alert citizens about critical developments such as weather, explosions or other accidents - cell phones, email?
8/14/07 Blog, Federal $ for Congestion Pricing Is Good Value, support for DOT grant to NYC to suppose mass transit and install a system for collecting fees to discourage congestion in Manhattan.
8/8/07 Blog, Cities and Innovation, comment on recent UK paper contrasting the ways that hub cities and link cities foster innovation.